Political & Elections

longprime · Guru

RE: Place your bets

pima · Guru

For me I love Funny Bones, DS1 loves tandycakes!

zoosermom · Senior Member

I love butterscotch krimpets!!!

pima · Guru

zooser, if my MIL wasn't N stage I would come to hold your hand...I am hankering for a great slice of pizza, where you hear the crust crunch as you fold it in half and let the oil drip onto your paper plate!

I would also be willing to go to any Philly poster's area because DS2 wants to eat a cheese steak from Jims, Pat's and Geno's. He also would like to have one of their pretzels.

My family is Jersey so he knows what a Funny Bone and a Butterscotch krimpet tastes like!

zoosermom · Senior Member

winchester, can you please come to Staten Island and hold my hand? Since the hurricane, my husband was been working 16/7 and my poor baby boy isn't big enough yet to handle my hysteria.

pima · Guru

Oh come on don't worry because the Redskins lost their last home game. It has been true since 1940!

Here some more funny other facts:
According to U.S. News & World Report, the taller presidential candidate has won 80 percent of the time throughout history. If this holds true, Romney, who stands at 6-foot-2, has a slight edge over Obama, who stands at 6-foot-1.

And finally, history shows that the candidate with the longer last name has won in 15 of the last 23 elections. If this holds true, Romney will squeak by, thanks to a one-letter advantage.

winchester · Guru

Oh, and rasmussen is historically the most accurate.

Does this relieve your panick just a teenie bit?

What will really relieve it is seeing the tossups all turn red tonight.

pima · Guru

Bullet is not voting today, unfortunately his mother is N stage cancer in NJ, so he didn't think he would need to vote absentee. He was going to vote for MR. I will be voting for MR. Our 18 yo last night informed me he thinks he will vote for PBO. I told him that's fine our votes will cancel each other out. Bullet when he heard that said great now if MR loses VA by 1 vote it is my fault! :D

DD already voted absentee since she is at college. The count in our home is:
2 MR
1 Obama
1 No vote

The 5th is our DS, but he is in TX, and registered in NC, so another absentee.
1 MR

Not to go off topic to much, but I was impressed with VA. We received a letter last week from the board of elections, saying they received her absentee vote, and that if she did not indeed send in a ballot, to contact them immediately.

winchester · Guru

zoose check the final rasumessen numbers i just posted over on the Polls and the Media thread.

It gives Romney a slight overal lead. It lists 8 states as tossups. But when you look at the states individually, six of them lean romney, one leans obama, and one is tied.

zoosermom · Senior Member

I am completely panicked and demoralized.

However I will be one of the crawl over broken glass voters for Mitt today. As some of you know, my 14-year old son has been a stalwart Roomneyite since 2007 and he is praying for victory today so he can vote for Mitt in four years.

catahoula · Guru

And Nate Silver says there's some seriously easy money to be had - according to him, the chance of Obama winning 315.3 electoral votes is 92.2%.

john doe · Guru

Intrade:

·

· Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

·

· 67.4%

CHANCE

·

· Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012

·

· 32.7%

pima · Guru

john doe, didn't you see my link from MSNBC? According to them PBO won, 280 electoral votes, MR won popular. I was psychic...I predicted it, thus I should be something, at least pay me as a psychic consultant.

SamuraiLandshark · Guru

Not really a betting fan. It might be because I am superstitious, and afraid I might jinx it.

john doe · Guru

"I was right, PBO wins the electoral, but not the popular."

You're nothing - the electiion hasn't been held yet.

zoosermom · Senior Member

My bet is Obama wins in the electoral college and wins the popular vote by 2.

I think it will be called at 11:40 pm

longprime · Guru

Tried to be market neutral-I'll tell you on Wednesday nite on how my neutral bets come off.

Personally I can't see the arithmetic of MR intentions other than go massive debt, inflate against the Yuan which will cause our loans to be worth less to China-which will make them pissed, so they will buy more US housing, making homes worth more thereby pushing more people out of foreclosures. And in 2 generations, we will have a ethnic but American Born Chinese as President, although raised in Shanghai-New York City-San Jose. Harvard MBA with Stanford BS ME. And a half Chinese/White wife, and very cute kids with 140 IQs.

BTW, Oregon's vote fraud, discovered late last week was done by a volunteer vote counter (R) who marked ballots (republican) in areas that the voter, supposedly did not mark. Unknown quantity of ballots in question- could be very considerable and will positively surpass any individual vote fraud in all of these United States. Win by cheating-what a novel idea. Maximum penalty is 5yrs. She'll do 6months (not yet grand jury) since there is no budget for nonviolent convictions, and because 20 years ago our Republican state legislature built prisons but did not adequate fund for personel. Oh, well.

-- Edited by longprime on Monday 5th of November 2012 09:00:09 PM

catahoula · Guru

Scary because there's a lot of people, on one side or the other, that are going to find out they've been living a lie, pima. Which might be why Cutter did her "remain calm" PSA today: can't be having any spontaneous and embarassing displays until after the polls close.

Here's the pithiest I saw today...

Such implausible oversampling of Democrats has become routine in polls this year. A CNN national poll released Sunday had the race tied at 49 percent each for Obama and Romney, but with a D+11 sample that prompted my Republican operative friend Ali Akbar to remark, "They might as well be polling San Francisco."

... along with a great example of homegrown American wit, from the same piece:

One of the teenage volunteers displayed a cellphone photo he had taken of the front door of a house in a particular rough section of Middletown. A sign on the door read, "Is there life after death? Trespass here and find out."

Sounds like a republican to me but what pollster is that guy likely to confess to?

-- Edited by catahoula on Monday 5th of November 2012 05:57:42 PM

pima · Guru

VA : MR

CO: MR

FL: MR

OH: PBO

NV: PBO

Iowa toss up

What time do you think it will be called?

Wedsnesday 6 a.m. EST

pima · Guru

Just saw this on Drudge after I posted.

MSNBC just called it for Claire McCaskill

http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2012/11/early-election-results-via-msnbc-148500.html

Too funny!

PBO also wins with 280, MR 257

If you look at the presidential, MR has 55% and PBO has 43%.

Looks like on my place your bet. I was right, PBO wins the electoral, but not the popular. They have him winning OH, WI, IA and PA., but not CO or VA.

Maybe NBC will hire me as a guest/consultant because I called it 2 days out. I am much cheaper than any of their pundits.

-- Edited by pima on Monday 5th of November 2012 03:49:30 PM

pima · Guru

cat, their predictions are pretty scary because we could see a repeat of 2000, but this time in multiple states. I.E. VA and CO.

OBTW I think Obama will win electoral, not popular.

-- Edited by pima on Monday 5th of November 2012 03:38:21 PM

catahoula · Guru

Pretty horrifying thought but I'm lying between Dick Morris and George Will.

Expect equal parts riots and bathtub razor blades from the cheated.

Oh, and a cupcake from you, zoose.

-- Edited by catahoula on Monday 5th of November 2012 03:18:54 PM