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Post Info TOPIC: Bets on which way things are going to fall...


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Bets on which way things are going to fall...
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Back to the original topic:

"Not since Jimmy Carter... " -  and that's a truth in sooo many ways.

http://www.marke****ch.com/story/dows-losing-streak-now-in-ninth-day-2011-08-03

 

Great news - "Unemployment applications tick down to 400K".

http://sg.news.yahoo.com/unemployment-aid-applications-tick-down-400k-123457430.html

 

Dem senator to Obama: "Take a day off" - a suggestion echoed privately by all but Pelosi and Reid, I suspect.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2011/08/04/dem_senator_obama_deserves_a_day_off.html

 

I'd link some poll numbers, but... suffice it to say that since he lost ground during the debt ceiling fight, and his original position was a clean increase with no strings, the public mood tilts toward deficit reduction primarily by cutting spending.

His re-election chances look to be trending towards that of Carter's back in those bad old pre-Reagan days.



-- Edited by catahoula on Thursday 4th of August 2011 02:32:08 PM

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to the Right we go. evileye

"which way things are going to fall..."

Then we will take a very long fall. evileye



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Sometimes longprime's posts are a bit abstract for my simple mind. 



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For a moment, I thought it was just you and me that couldn't find anything better to do than haunt the house, lp, but there may be a little life left in this venture.

Taxing rent-seeking ex-politicians, at that special rate that they seem to be just fine with for the bare majority that does pay taxes, seems like a pretty damn fine idea. They seem assured that they're a special class - why not treat them like one.



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Glenn Reynolds floated the idea of taxing income at 50%+ for private sector employees that were elected or appointed government officials in the previous 5 years. I think a lot of people would support this... except for the politicians.

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I wish the forecasters and our legislators actually walk amongst us, incognito, and really understand our plight. I understand that's hard to ignore those who talk the loudest and have the money to gain access. 

IT'S NOT TAXES STUPID, ITS FINDING AN ECONOMIC BASE TO BUILD UPON!



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With today's unemployment data, this seems especially ludicrous:

“The average American does not view the economy through the prism of GDP or unemployment rates or even monthly jobs numbers,” Plouffe said, according to Bloomberg. “People won’t vote based on the unemployment rate, they’re going to vote based on: ‘How do I feel about my own situation? Do I believe the president makes decisions based on me and my family?’ ”

Selling water as wine is what people like Plouffe do for a living but, honestly, those two hypotheticals should get him kicked off the team.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/170309-plouffe-says-jobs-rate-not-key-in-2012



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I want stiffer penalities for white collar crime and draconian clawback provisions.

The government is not allowed to fine people enough to discourage outright theft and fraud.

This is one place where the Chinese are superior to us in how this kind of thing is discouraged, BigG -- maybe we should have demanded and been satisfied with Tony Hayward's head, instead of $20,000,000,000 from BP.

Not to mention the regulatory goat-roping that's resulted in better than a quarter-million barrels/day of off-shore oil production being unrealized.



-- Edited by catahoula on Saturday 28th of May 2011 05:09:59 PM

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However, now that I have seen and personally suffered in all that laizze-faire and reckless abandonment of personal common sense,  business so-called conservatism, and government/agency failure to watch and regulate;...

Don't feel like the lone ranger when it comes to personal lossess, lp. And never fear - there was bill passed by those champions of regulation (the democrats) that is going to make sure we never again personally suffer unjust losses. Myself, I think it would probably have a better chance of achieving it's goals if it hadn't been written by "Countrywide Dodd" and "Fannie Mae Frank" but I guess I'm in the minority on this one.

Regulatory oversight is generally just another way to pull in campaign cash... from those on both sides of the issue.



-- Edited by catahoula on Saturday 28th of May 2011 08:57:32 AM



-- Edited by catahoula on Saturday 28th of May 2011 09:43:25 AM

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BigG wrote:

I want stiffer penalities for white collar crime and draconian clawback provisions.

_________________________________________________________

That's fine, but very few broke any laws. I'll take what I can get, and that's an Apology. 



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I am all in favor of hammering the past and future enterprises until they rediscover morality and ethics-

I totally agree. Why would anyone in their right mind trust the entities responsible for the financial meltdown to self-regulate, when they have shown themselves singularly incapable of doing so?



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I want stiffer penalities for white collar crime and draconian clawback provisions.

The government is not allowed to fine people enough to discourage outright theft and fraud.

Steal a hundred million and pay a few million in fines? Who wouldn't do that if they could even knowing they would eventually be caught? Not that they often are and the ex post facto clause in the Constitution makes innovative scams attractive.

What happened to financial reform? DOA, killed by the real masters/rulers of America.



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Until 2007, I was very much for deregulation and free markets and privatizations- I had made some money in that process...and had positioned DS's assets to be somewhat immune to the economy. 

However, now that I have seen and personally suffered in all that laizze-faire and reckless abandonment of personal common sense,  business so-called conservatism, and government/agency failure to watch and regulate; ... I am all in favor of hammering the past and future enterprises until they rediscover morality and ethics-

I want an apology, evileye



-- Edited by longprime on Friday 27th of May 2011 10:22:52 PM



-- Edited by longprime on Friday 27th of May 2011 10:23:54 PM

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You may very well be right, lp -- I was sure for the longest time (and said so several times on CC) that Pelosi wouldn't make all her foot soldiers walk the plank by passing Obamacare and as it turned out, I was not only wrong but dead wrong.

Forecasting how stupid someone, or a whole bunch of someones, can be is pretty much a sucker's bet.



-- Edited by catahoula on Friday 27th of May 2011 09:07:51 PM

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catahoula wrote:

In light of the recent NY election, would the OP'er care to re-think their position?

Nah, I'm all in on this one, BigG.


 

 Most of the time, its good to reserve something for new opportunities that may arise in the future and to hedge the current bet. Those financial companies who are no longer around did the all-in thing, and we had to bail them out. Any one other me is Not happy with their risk management? evileye



-- Edited by longprime on Friday 27th of May 2011 08:04:29 PM

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There is an element of virtue in consistency.

"One caveat - unless Huntsman has a skeleton in his closet he could give Obama a run for his money."

I wouldn't expect that. I could be wrong. The Huntsman family are pillars of the LDS church. The very limited personal contact I had with Jon Sr. 20 or so years ago gave me the impression that he is a sincere and devout man.

The real question is whether the far righteous evangelicals will vote for a Mormon.
Of course many would consider it a choice between a Mormon and a Muslim...

Note that I myself am that rarest of all ecclesiastical species, a liberal Baptist. We jokingly refer to ourselves as the Baptist Episcopal church.

 



-- Edited by BigG on Friday 27th of May 2011 03:37:37 PM

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In light of the recent NY election, would the OP'er care to re-think their position?

Nah, I'm all in on this one, BigG.



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*****As long as our President du jour seems to have as many as the above outlined traits as possible and I believe he/she has a sincere desire to do right by this country and all its people, I'll be happy. Suffice it to say I haven't really been happy with a President in a long time; Though with the exception of a lack of judgment in his personal life, in hindsight, I believe Clinton came close. I'm embarrassed to admit, though, that the political noise machine rendered me largely unable to see those traits while he held office*****

I agree! Are we the same person?? LOL.
The Presidents I did not like while in office - I have come to have an affinity for afterwards - Clinton and even Reagan. I liked Bush in the beginning but despised him by the end. I can't seem to get it right.

Obama - I confess - am still on the fence about. While I did not vote for him, I don't *hate* him nor do I think he will ruin the country. I do think he will get re-elected. For one, he showed a lot of balls in getting bin Laden, secondly the Republicans just will refuse to get their act together. Anyone in the middle will accept the status quo (Obama) instead of the Republican lack of leadership which is getting so annoying.

One caveat - unless Huntsman has a skeleton in his closet he could give Obama a run for his money.

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In light of the recent NY election, would the OP'er care to re-think their position?

Big changes to entitlements? Not likely. 



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My comment pertains to the oft leveled accusations of arrogance against Obama, which I've always found rather irksome. I don't see Obama as being any more arrogant than any other politician who has either run for or held the office of President

 

=========================================================

 

I think it's the fact that when speaking he uses the word "I" all the time.  It sounds very self-centered.  Even when speaking to those who were responsible for taking out Osama, he still used the word "I" something like 40 times within a rather short speech.  It was about THEM and the country at large....not about him.

Obama's problem will be that he has lost too many of the non-black voters who were voting for him simply to help the first AA get elected.  That was their united theme in 'O8.   Every one of my in-laws (and H has a huge family) voted for Obama for that reason ALONE (and these are all highly educated people).  None of them will vote for him next time.  None.

There's no "there, there."   An empty suit that can deliver a great speech - he should have been an actor.



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Thanks, zooser. Not being nearly so vigilant a political animal as you, I'm not familiar with the situations you've referenced. When, and in what context did he say it's easier to be President of China? Just a quick reaction to such a statement by any American President would have me pretty much agreeing with it. The Political structure of China is so very different from our own. Dictatorships, for the most part, don't have to pay heed to or be concerned with the feelings or opinions of their constituents (if they can even be called that). The Chinese have certainly shown that they will brutally suppress any and all dissent. The American President, whoever he is, can't roll that way. And when you're the 800 lb gorilla of your country's only political party, your political enemies look pretty weak by comparison. In the case of a country that doesn't even hold elections, who's going to vote you out of office? Of course, I don't know the context of the statement, so I can't definitively say he wasn't being "whiney", or "bitchy", but given what little I know (apparently, next to nothing at this point), I'd say it wasn't such a reprehensible thing to say.

I don't tune in to watch every word that comes out of the President's mouth (never have done that with any President) at every appearance or fund-raiser, so I don't get the impression that Obama is always harkending back to Bush, or blaming him for our current situation. I'm assuming you do, however, so maybe you're keeping tally.

I don't know anything about what he said or did to Paul Ryan (a man with whom I deeply disagree concerning some of his proposals especially those for Medicare) at the Budget Speech. Didn't hear the speech. Can you elaborate?

As far as his public disagreement with the Supreme Court descision to allow corporations to qualify as "a person", and thereby donate unlimited financial resources to political parties, PACs, elections, etc., I happen to heartily agree with his opinion on that, and wasn't bothered by it. It did set a precedent that many feel was troublesome, but I thought it was far less troublesome than the decision it was used to address. The Supreme Court isn't any more sacrosanct than any other branch of the Government, and it is neither beyond reproach nor criticism. Presidents openly disagree with the actions of The Legislative Branch of Government all the time. Why should the actions of The Judicial be off-limits? I believe with every fiber of my body, that that SCOTUS decision will have disastrous and horribly corrupting political implications in the future. IMO, there was nothing bitchy about Obama's statement concerning it. I'd have agreed with any President who spoke those words on that night, and in that context, because I was reeling with outrage over that decision that night. Indeed, I'm still mad as hell about it. 



-- Edited by Poetsheart on Friday 29th of April 2011 05:03:50 PM



-- Edited by Poetsheart on Friday 29th of April 2011 07:57:59 PM



-- Edited by Poetsheart on Friday 29th of April 2011 08:00:37 PM

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Poetsheart, the comment about it bieng easier to be President of China was whiny and  bitchy, his constant blaming of Bush at this juncture is whiny and bitchy, the way he treated Paul Ryan at the budget speech and the Supreme Court at the SOTU.  He's just become a nasty, snarky, bitchy man who blames everyone and anyone else.  It's not becoming, it's not leadership and it's not uplifting in any way.  As you know, I was always predisposed to cut him a break (not the least for his lovely wife and beautiful daughters), but he needs to get his mojo back, find some gratitude and appreciation and re-dedicate himself.



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romanigypsyeyes wrote:

As far as the last 2 years, I don't see how anyone but the Dems can get blame (for whatever they deserve blame for, I am not exactly sure).

Sorry, I worded my original thing wrong. I meant in looking forward to the next election, who will get the blame for these two years when there's not a Dem majority in everything. I think the Republicans are going to receive a lot of the blame, too, for not compromising on ANYTHING. I honestly think it will backfire on them.


 

I agree.  That said, I think the real problem is that BOTH SIDES spend so much time trying to make the other side look like the bad guys, that they don't actually spend any time trying to solve the issues. 



-- Edited by soccerguy315 on Thursday 28th of April 2011 08:26:49 PM

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Quote: I think it is very hard to sift the personal through the political. No modern candidate was accused of elitism more than John Kerry (the last candidate on the Dem ticket). Not even President Obama./Quote

Quite true concerning Kerry (for whom I did not vote, btw). But, I didn't see him as an elitist so much as a pompous bloviator. That really turned me off. For the record, I want our President to be elite. I want him or her to be the best educated (which is not merely defined by where one earned one's degree(s), but by intellectual yearning, a propensity to read widely, an ability to synthesize disperate advice and information, in other words, elite critical thinking skills) best able to handle the pressures and demands required to carry out such an extremely difficult job, best able to adapt and change as situations dictate, best able to learn from his/her mistakes (which will be inevitable), etc. I don't give a rat's ass whether or not he/she is someone with whom I'd enjoy having a beer. That meme is just cold comfort against the reality that one's candidate/President might be entirely too pedestrian, too ordinary a man or woman to hold such a important job. 

As long as our President du jour seems to have as many as the above outlined traits as possible and I believe he/she has a sincere desire to do right by this country and all its people, I'll be happy. Suffice it to say I haven't really been happy with a President in a long time; Though with the exception of a lack of judgment in his personal life, in hindsight, I believe Clinton came close. I'm embarrassed to admit, though, that the political noise machine rendered me largely unable to see those traits while he held office.



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Quote: What I do see is a strong propensity to whiny bitchiness and being just downright unpleasant./Quote

Zooser, can you give examples of what you see to be "whiny bitchiness" on Obama's part? As you know, I respect your perpective as a conservative, and a well informed political junkie, so I'm always interested in reading what you have to say. I don't worship at the altar of Obama, and I don't think he's perfect by any means. I'm not happy with the way he's gone about making some decisions, nor all his decisions, but I generally give any President a long period to settle in, and learn the ins and outs of a job that no amount of experience can truly prepare one for. But, I'm personally offended by what I see to be a cynical manipulation of white racial resentment by many of our politicians and political pundits in order to deligitimize Obama's Presidency at every turn. No one can tell me that they don't know exactly what they're doing. 



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I don't see Obama as particularly elitist, but I work in Big Law, so he's of the population with which I'm very comfortable and familiar.  What I do see is a strong propensity to whiny bitchiness and being just downright unpleasant.  Whether he has to be is a whole other question, but I don't think the man is particulary likeable anymore. And I was always going to give him the benefit of the doubt in that regard (although I still think -- accusations of racism aside -- that he looks better in business or evening attire than in a bathing suit), but I always wondered if he was up to the job.  Seems he isn't.  Not for lack of smarts or credentials, but for lack of experience and the leadership mentality.



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I think it is very hard to sift the personal through the political. No modern candidate was accused of elitism more than John Kerry (the last candidate on the Dem ticket). Not even President Obama. Though, there is every reason to use that epithet against him. The candidate's major career moves and biggest campadres were all academic. In fact, what worried me most about him was his intellectual credibility being so bandied about by his fans because, well, he was a professor. That'd be enough right there to make me pause.

Still, it is incredulous to accuse him of being elitist and light-headed at the same time, as Poetsheart says. He is certainly smart and affable. His crowd (mostly white males) is arrogant. And this is multiplied by the fact that Republicans have become accustomed to having to defend the intellectual bona fides of their more recent stars --from Bush, to Palin to Bachman. McCain boasted about graduating at the bottom of his class at the Naval Academy. Same was applied to Regan in the '70's -80's. The progressive counter argument was that Carter was an intellectual. They didn't get it then either.

Lastly, I do not think that you can just wash away our recent history in race relations. I believe that President Obama should be given a rather wide berth when his natural opponents come after him as they will and as they always do. If not for him, then for the millions of black Americans that were cheered that someone that looks like them had become President of the United States. In some sense, to claim he was not born in America was to claim he was not one of them. That knife cut with two edges.

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Quote:Obama comes across as an elitist who is sure that he knows better than everyone else does, and he's going to ignore what anyone else thinks because he is such a non-emotional intellectual./Quote

Arrogant means Ivy League intellectual? So, you can graduate from an Ivy League institution, but as long as you show no sign of having the intelligence worthy of that institution, you're okay to lead the richest and most powerful nation on earth?  As long as you come off as a good 'ole boy while "ignoring what everyone else thinks" you can't possibly be called arrogant? If you don't emote and are calm and self-possessed, that means you're an arrogant elitist? Got it.

Let me tell you what would happen if Obama had come across as a regular "good 'ole boy" : First, he would definitely not have been deemed intellectually qualified for the job---especially since black people are believed to be considerably less intelligent than whites (or any other race of person, for that matter)But the irony is, even as on the one hand, the right criticizes him as an intellectual elitist, they are now hard at work questioning his intellectual qualifications for the education which he received. Again, Catch-22. Let me tell you what would happen if he were "more emotional": He'd be considered an emotionally unstable black man, especially if he expressed any level of anger---nothing scarier than an angry black man.... And yet, apparently, Cool Under Fire is only admirable if you're a white Commander In Chief...confuse Got it.



-- Edited by Poetsheart on Thursday 28th of April 2011 12:04:41 AM



-- Edited by Poetsheart on Thursday 28th of April 2011 12:06:58 AM

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"Someone please show me how Obama is any more arrogant than George Bush (both of them), Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, or John F. Kennedy? It should be obvious to the most casual observer that Donald Trump is one of the world's most arrogant men."

Trump is a piece of crap, and it is ridiculous that he has grabbed the spotlight. I hope he goes away soon.

President Obama does come off as very arrogant. Clinton and Bush 2 were good old boys, didn't come across as intellectual ivy educated elites at all. They were the guys next door that you might sit down and have a beer with. Same with Bush 1, though he wasn't aw-shuck sort of guy. Obama comes across as an elitist who is sure that he knows better than everyone else does, and he's going to ignore what anyone else thinks because he is such a non-emotional intellectual. He doesn't show much sincere emotion, he doesn't seem sincerely warm, he really does come across like the mixture of lawyer and professor that he is. That comes across as extremely arrogant. Now I've been called arrogant many times in my life (I'm not), but perception is everything, and we just see what the president allows the camera to see. Perhaps the fact that his speeches are all scripted doesn't help.

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My comment pertains to the oft leveled accusations of arrogance against Obama, which I've always found rather irksome. I don't see Obama as being any more arrogant than any other politician who has either run for or held the office of President. Politicians are almost always somewhat arrogant. It's part of the job description as far as I've been able to ascertain. It takes a staggering dose of arrogance to assume that one is fit to preside as President over the wealthest and most power nation on the planet. Someone please show me how Obama is any more arrogant than George Bush (both of them), Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, or John F. Kennedy? It should be obvious to the most casual observer that Donald Trump is one of the world's most arrogant men. And yes, he'll be called that because it's astoundingly true. But, white men have always enjoyed the privilege of thinking highly of themselves. When black men do so, it offends many people because blacks are viewed to have too many genetic deficits to justify arrogance. The word "uppity" is often applied to such.

And no, I'm not talking about everybody. Just a lot more people than most people will ever admit exist.



-- Edited by Poetsheart on Wednesday 27th of April 2011 09:17:24 PM

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Trump is, has been and always will be an ass, a pretentious windbag who has a ton of money.. I am not even sure how race and entitlement enter into this particular equation. I don't see the vast majority of voters thinking he is more entitled because of the color of his skin.   I also don't see a world where if he got this esteemed office, he would come off as less of an *******, or more entitled to the job than anyone else.

Like everything else though, your mileage may vary.  



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Quote: poetsheart, have you ever met Trump in person?  If you don't like what you see on TV, let me tell you, it's double in person, when no cameras are there to temper his arrogance and ego.  He marches in, of course doens't shake hands, and calls everyone (including the gov in the room) by their first names, but insists everyone in the room call him "Mr. Trump".  And he has a bunch of toadies with him, who probably unzip his zipper when he needs to go to the bathroom.  He's a disgusting human being./Quote

Believe it or not, Hayden, that is exactly the impression he gives off. It was abundantly clear that he's an ecotistical son of a bitch during an interview with Elliott Spitzer I saw on CNN. If he were ever elected President, all the things conservatives have said about Obama's supposed "arrogance" would pale by comparison, but in Trumps case, he would be seen as entitled to it in a way a black man never is.




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poetsheart, have you ever met Trump in person?  If you don't like what you see on TV, let me tell you, it's double in person, when no cameras are there to temper his arrogance and ego.  He marches in, of course doens't shake hands, and calls everyone (including the gov in the room) by their first names, but insists everyone in the room call him "Mr. Trump".  And he has a bunch of toadies with him, who probably unzip his zipper when he needs to go to the bathroom.  He's a disgusting human being.



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Ohio is weird. I also got a SIL in Ohio. 



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pima- I think you are correct. I remember Carter/Reagan and the only way Carter could have won is if the electorate became overly concerned with Reagan. Once he was found to be acceptable Carter was toast. That is Obama now and being Carter is not where you want to be.

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My sister lives in Ohio, which for the past 2 elections really gained clout. In 08 it went to Obama, in 04 it was Bush. She visited last month, and we were talking about Obama being re-elected, I said he will def. be re-elected. Her response was not in Ohio. She is quasi liberal.  She likes to pretend that she is liberal, but like many Americans not if it is in her backyard.

That shocked me immensely.
She stated that nobody in her circle will vote for him.
I asked would they vote for an R?
She replied no.
So I said he still wins.

She than stated no he doesn't...it will be 04 all over again...the R's will still vote because statistically they always vote. Voters like me only come out if they can get behind a candidate.

Is it wrong that she won't vote? Yes, and I told her fine, don't vote, but don't beaach either because you lost that right when you don't vote.

She replied, have you ever heard me beaach if I don't vote? No, I haven't.

If she is right, he is losing his base, and that makes it a game changer.

Two things can happen.
1. Clinton V Dole...R's put up wallpaper as their nom. Obama wins
2. Bush V Gore ... D's base isn't there like it was for Clinton and R's win.

It really is up to the R's now. Unfortunately at this time I don't see any R that will make it scenario #2.



-- Edited by pima on Wednesday 27th of April 2011 06:23:29 AM

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As far as the last 2 years, I don't see how anyone but the Dems can get blame (for whatever they deserve blame for, I am not exactly sure).

Sorry, I worded my original thing wrong. I meant in looking forward to the next election, who will get the blame for these two years when there's not a Dem majority in everything. I think the Republicans are going to receive a lot of the blame, too, for not compromising on ANYTHING. I honestly think it will backfire on them.

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quote:As for Trump, he's just getting on my nerves. Did he go after Bush for his less than stellar academic record (serious question)? And who cares if Obama did well or did not do well in school. I wasn't aware that getting a 4.0 was now a job requirement or even indicative of how one would do as president./quote

Yeah, and why am I not surprised that Trump would appeal to the racial resentment inherent in the "where are his transcripts?" question?hmm It strolls hand in hand with the Birther's "He's not one of us" crowd. Two sides of the same unseemly coin. I never did hold Donal Trump in very high regard. Now, I can't stand to even look at him.




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Date: Apr 26, 2011
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the world is ending romani! haha

As far as the last 2 years, I don't see how anyone but the Dems can get blame (for whatever they deserve blame for, I am not exactly sure). They had both houses and the white house. If you can't run the government well when you have both houses and the white house, when can you? They passed the healthcare bill, which we are still waiting to see how it will work. I wish they took some more time to make sure they got it right. I'm really worried it is not going to be beneficial at all.

On the other hand, Obama ran his last election as the Washington outsider who was going to bring changes and moral authority. So far, he hasn't done any of that. His advisors have left for high paying industry gigs. He brought in lots of lobbyists like every other president has. He committed to Libya, for some reason. Iraq is going well. Afghanistan is not really going well, but it's off of the front page of the newspapers. He was going to close GITMO and failed miserably. He was going to use civilian courts for terrorists - also failed. He was going to shut down renditions and black sites - also failed. He did oversee the end of DADT (I think it ended, right?) - that is good. Economy - still sucks (but I don't believe the President has magical powers to control the economy).

 

also... trump is a clown.



-- Edited by soccerguy315 on Tuesday 26th of April 2011 08:12:08 PM

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For once, I agree with everything soccerguy said.

I am just really curious of, in hindsight, who is going to get the blame for these last two years. It seems on a state level the Republicans are definitely getting the blame (at least around these parts), but I am not sure what's going on on a national level. It will be interesting to see what happens this winter and next summer- that is where the real test of this Congress and President will come in- as both fight to keep their jobs.

As for Trump, he's just getting on my nerves. Did he go after Bush for his less than stellar academic record (serious question)? And who cares if Obama did well or did not do well in school. I wasn't aware that getting a 4.0 was now a job requirement or even indicative of how one would do as president. I really do wish Trump would do better things with his time and money than stir up conspiracy theories. Think of how much good he could do if he refocused that energy on community building projects or something of the sort. *sigh*

As of right now, I do believe that Obama will win reelection. Actually, much less of an Obama win and more of a Republican loss. But that's just me- things could be radically different in a few months, let alone another year.

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Interesting snippet from that same article:

Still, in the USA TODAY poll, only 38% of Americans say Obama definitely was born in the USA, and 18% say he probably was. Fifteen percent say he probably was born in another country, and 9% say he definitely was born elsewhere.

Is this because only a little better than a third of Americans don't live under a rock or because playing the politically expedient game with the birth certificate issue maybe wasn't such a brilliant idea?



-- Edited by catahoula on Tuesday 26th of April 2011 09:09:50 AM

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I'll lay bets with both you and soccerguy, busdriver.

Mostly because I believe that, along with lingering resentment from the last two years legislative accomplishments, the same things that tripped up Carter are going to be in full swing by next summer.

I don't think you'll need another Reagan to beat him... heck, I don't even believe you needed Reagan to beat the old Carter.



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Date: Apr 26, 2011
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Donald Trump moves on from birthers, now says President Obama wasn't qualified for Ivy League
BY Aliyah Shahid
DAILY NEWS STAFF WRITER

Tuesday, April 26th 2011, 10:47 AM


Richard Drew/APBillionaire business mogul Donald Trump suggested President Obama was not qualified to attend Harvard and Columbia universities.
Joe Wrinn/Harvard University/APThis photo provided by Harvard University Law School shows Barack Obama as a student at the school in Cambridge, Mass. on Feb. 6, 1990. Take our PollTrumping the competition?
Do you think Donald Trump has a shot at becoming President?

Yes. He has some great ideas.
No. What a joke.
Mixed feelings.

Related NewsBloomy: Trump should drop birther issue!Greenman: Trump's rise and Obama's hissy fit examples of 'fat tail' politicsKrauthammer: The GOP's racing form for 2012Voice of the People for Apr. 21, 2011Voice of the People for Apr. 20, 2011Let's make a deal: Trump says he'll release tax returns if Obama releases birth certificateDonald Trump is expanding his probe of President Obama into his Ivy League education - in addition to his birthplace.

The billionaire real estate mogul and presidential flirt claims Obama was a poor student and suggested he was not qualified to attend Harvard and Columbia universities.

"I heard he was a terrible student, terrible," Trump told The Associated Press.

"How does a bad student go to Columbia and then to Harvard? I'm thinking about it, I'm certainly looking into it. Let him show his records."

Obama graduated from Columbia in 1983 with a degree in political science after he transferred from California's Occidental College. In 1991 he graduated magna cum laude from Harvard Law School, where he was president of the Harvard Law Review.

The "Apprentice" host pointed to Obama's 2008 campaign, which did not release his college transcripts, as evidence that the President has something to hide.

"I have friends who have smart sons with great marks, great boards, great everything and they can't get into Harvard," said Trump, who went to University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business. "We don't know a thing about this guy. There are a lot of questions that are unanswered about our President."

Trump, who has been shouting from the rooftops that he doubts Obama was born in the U.S., even claimed earlier this month that he sent a team of investigators to the President's home state of Hawaii to get answers.

The attention helped propel Trump to an impressive showing in recent polls.

But a USA Today/Gallup survey released Tuesday shows America's support for Trump is waning.

Half of all Americans said the 64-year-old would be a "poor" or "terrible" commander in chief. Meanwhile 64% of those surveyed said they would absolutely not vote for Trump.



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The Donald has gotten a suprising amount of mileage out his schtick, hasn't he? Kind of makes me wonder if Democrat's policy of lumping anyone entertaining any idle notions about what might be on the original in with the birthers will turn out to have been a wise political move.

As long as O was a blank slate and selling himself as a post-partisan healer, I think the questions seemed kind of petty and mean, at least to all those independent voters. Now that they know him a great deal better, well, they may not feel quite as generous to him. We'll see.



-- Edited by catahoula on Tuesday 26th of April 2011 08:07:43 AM

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Hey, you've got The Donald possibly riding to the rescue. He'll bring all the Birthers and most committed among the wingnuts to the polls. Surely they'll help tip the balance come election day.biggrin



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I think soccerguy is right on all counts. As hopeful as I am to agree with you, cat, don't think it's gonna happen. Gotta take what we can get, and that's a compromise.

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Nightly News,

John Boehner, said that its possible to look at the oil subsidy/tax credits to that industry-especially the big companies. Exxon and Shell executives have been saying for years that they don't need the credits or subsidy.

Is the Orange showing some ambitiion?



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Krugman just posted a nice column about how people seeking medical care are not consumers of a service. Guess that is why he got a nobel prize.

I think Obama will win re-election. The Republicans have no one to mount any sort of challenge right now.

The Republicans and Democrats should use the split houses to do some real negotiating. How about raising the "rich" taxes while also broadening the tax base, expanding the number of people who pay taxes? How about offering to cut some defense in exchange for raising social security requirements? Stuff like this.

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... on the issues of deficit reduction and Obama's re-election chances?

Things are looking pretty grim at the moment:

Gasoline prices are hitting the "I ain't responsible for it" level, while the EPA - in a move sure to make only the greenies happy - nixes a permit for Shell to proceed on a project in the Beaufort Sea. This, along with Bromwich petulantly claiming there "was no de facto moratorium" on drilling in the Gulf.

Debts out of control and it looks like the spending and money printing that has been done is about to inflate our asses right on out to Mars.

The intelligensia of the left appears to be drawing a bead on the commander-in-chief as we speak, regarding any waffling about tax hikes being the only humane solution to that debt problem. (Which is fascinating to watch, btw, since the majority of voters both weren't in favor of the spending binge and appear peeved with those who indulged. Why on earth, do the Krugmans of the world think they're going to like being dunned for the bill?)

Probably just me but I think that, along with big changes coming to the entitlement state, Obama's toast in '12.



-- Edited by catahoula on Monday 25th of April 2011 04:40:49 PM

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