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Post Info TOPIC: INvesting


Guru

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Date: Sep 18, 2013
RE: INvesting
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Perhaps you should read this: http://seekingalpha.com/article/907431-simple-rules-for-using-options-in-an-ira



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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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"I trade within IRAs, so derivatives is prohibited except for covered calls."  - You sure about that???

 

 



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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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TD only allow me to do covered calls. Perhaps because in retirement mode & small accounts. 

buy SGEN, July 1. @33. 

write call 40Sept@2.25 on July18. 

today SGEN is at 47 and 40Sept@7.70.  Fortunately I closed the write a two weeks later, with a loss  of just 233%. Sold SGEN at 41 in mid-Aug. 

The problem with covered calls is that if you too far out, the premium is hardly worth the risk either in a large and fast up or down move. 

BTW, this is BunsenBurner's company( she said "a genetics company with the name of the city). Met my criteri: local, could have a new technology, below its high, small float. 

 



-- Edited by longprime on Tuesday 17th of September 2013 09:44:21 PM



-- Edited by longprime on Tuesday 17th of September 2013 09:46:50 PM

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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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Yep. Covered Calls only. 

Obviously straight calls, puts, and put writes leave the brokerage exposed if there isn't sufficient funds in the account. Since IRAs and other qualified accounts are limited to yearly contributions, the brokerage needs to be careful. 

The condition is OK with me, forces me to be conservative in my trading. I'm not bashful in taking a $1/sh gain. 

What troubles me is the purchases allows someone else  to short the stock. 



-- Edited by longprime on Tuesday 17th of September 2013 07:17:47 PM

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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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I trade WTI only. I can't figure out Brent. WTI is influenced a lot by fracking and pipelines that I can understand better. I began shorting WTI too early. at 104 but it went to 110. It is heading back down so I should be able to break even but it was not looking good there for a while.

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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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Cramer, today, said to be in cash. I didn't get the reasons. IMO, stock market is nearing  their highs, Budget/Continuing Resolution is coming in Oct, ObamaCare's open enrollment begins in Oct;  Difficultly in finding leads and ideas for stock, my variable annuities are at new highs, my trading accounts are at highs. 



-- Edited by longprime on Tuesday 17th of September 2013 04:36:01 PM

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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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I trade within IRAs, so derivatives is prohibited except for covered calls. The last few times I used covered calls, the stock took off fast and I had to buy the calls back faster. 

Are you buying Brent or WTI? 

Where is BunsenBurner. I ought to thank her. 

 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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I used to write naked puts on stocks I wanted to buy and that worked out pretty well. If the stock went up as I expected, I made money. If the stock went down I owned the stock that I would otherwise have bought anyway. When I was doing this , I would write an at the money put four or five months out. The new strategy is to write at or slightly below the money puts for a week but buy an out of the money put for the same time period as protection in case the stock tanks. So far the new way has been a winner although I have not devoted a lot of capital to the approach yet. I have been using this approach on LNKD. It's very high and could drop unexpectedly but it also has a lot of premium in the puts. We shall see.

I have been short crude oil but that is not working out so well.

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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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Interesting that you're short term bullish, most people are not.  Has that put thing that you're doing worked out for you in the past?



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Guru

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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Good riddance to Summers. That guy is such a jackass. He was part of Obama's economic team that did nothing to help the economy. He is an abrasive jerk who few like.

I'm short term bullish so I am selling puts against good stocks and buying back lower strike puts to lock in any loss that might occur.

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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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yes - if you listened to Cramer tonight, he discussed Summers and said he was a one man wrecking crew.  He has frequently expressed that Bernanke was not doing the right thing with QE.  Summers is very contentious, not a consensus builder, says things exactly the way he sees them which means hearings etc would be a circus and roil the markets.



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Date: Sep 17, 2013
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Check at 9 PT and up 2%.

Checked at about 11 PT and now I am up about 1%. Started to liquidate higher priced and volatile holdings. Now about 50% cash in primary account.

The Dow +170pts in early trading because of Summers?  



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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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"Doesn't it depend on how you look at it? A few bad Septembers perhaps means that the average or mean for the month over some number of years is bad but what about the median?"

I agree. The things I'm messing around with, though, are just short term, small dollar items. I don't do much with the market, this is just small stuff that I'm playing with.

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Guru

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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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" Isn't Sept supposed to be the big crash month? I have some things....I'm trying to decide if I should sell them or hold on awhile....just can't decide. "

 

Doesn't it depend on how you look at it?  A few bad Septembers perhaps means that the average or mean for the month over some number of years is bad but what about the median?



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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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Bad omen last night; Skunk and cat in garage. I was in my underwear and with the skunk's tail raised, 5 feet away from me. [How's that for an image?evileye]  Gotta get that door repaired. hmm 

Anyhow, got up 5am PT. Waited for market to open at 6:30. Almost sold Z at 6:35 but decided that I needed to get some sleep. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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So from all appearances, it looks like the market should go up pretty good next week. I dunno. Isn't Sept supposed to be the big crash month? I have some things....I'm trying to decide if I should sell them or hold on awhile....just can't decide. But I'm sure whatever I do will be the wrong choice.

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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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Shoud've looked at KR earlier, but I don't do analysis or statements of any kind. I made my profits and was happy with them. Looking at KR chart, it would appear that after hitting 41, they dropped to near 38, which was my exit point in July. Maybe KR is getting to be full valued??? My issue with KR, it is primarily a grocer but our FredMeyer's is full line department retailer a level or two aboveWalmart, and with much better service and shopping experience. 



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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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Looking at a chart its not when you got out that's the issue, its when you got in.  What was wrong with all of 2013?



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Date: Sep 16, 2013
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I do not do technical analysis. I try to chose the companies that are not too obvious. I look at the charts of the stock to see if it is near the high or low, and if the stock is at either end, why?

Earlier this summer, I was into KR-because my local one-stop-shopping is FredMeyer. Great store. Should have held it a bit longer. I saw the Memorial Day traffic and asked the electronic's manager how was sales- GREAT.  In at 35 and out a month later at 38. 



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Date: Sep 15, 2013
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"I will buy low and sell high" - What does this mean?  How do you determine when something is low and when  something is high?



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Guru

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Date: Sep 15, 2013
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I will buy low and sell high, unless if I think that some of the picks are heading downward and I need to cut the potential loss. I am in some pretty speculative & high priced stocks. 

 Since I don't watch the futures on my holdings or indexes, or ETFs, I can't comment. 



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Date: Sep 15, 2013
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take a look at those futures!



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Guru

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Date: Sep 15, 2013
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OK - I'm thinking of buying vxx and playing the volatility next week.  I presume that you will just keep your current positions and not do anything different.



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Date: Sep 15, 2013
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,I'm sure that it will make a difference for some; just not me. I think. Our Politicians,  Financial Houses, business, and consumers need to be weaned from cheap money. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 15, 2013
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So you don't think it will make a difference in the market if the taper is 15 billion a month or 85 billion a month?  You don't think it will make a difference on Friday if a new fed chief is named and it is Larry Summers?



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Date: Sep 14, 2013
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FOMC?? 

I think the security and bond markets has anticipated whatever will happen. There is a lot of cash floating around and velocity is picking up. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 14, 2013
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Yes - next week could be interesting.  Actually the rest of the month will be interesting.  I expect that stocks will be moving all over the place.  What do you expect will happen to the market on Wednesday at 2:00?



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Date: Sep 14, 2013
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Fair, but placed bigger bets on Weds and Thursday and the bets are  down Thurs & Fri. Still ahead of what I was on last Friday by +3.5% but less in cash very high risks.   Next week will tell if I will be big up or bigger down. 



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Date: Sep 14, 2013
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Pretty good week in the market - you must have done quite well!



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Date: Sep 12, 2013
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SCTY is very hot. It moves very dramatically and when it moves it MOVES. Brokerage rules about clearing transaction, much like depositing check and then immediately making a withdrawal. The situation stinks but I have locked the profit and have again have a sum of cash for later trading opportunities. I think I found a dime stock that could have longterm possibilities like BGS. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 12, 2013
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Why were you forced to buy back scty?  I've never heard the term funds in suspense.



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Date: Sep 12, 2013
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Good move if you got AAPL today rather than yesterday. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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Today I'm in less cash than yesterday.  I bought aapl at around 466 along with Icahn.  He probably bought more than me though.  I also bought qqq, epi, smm.



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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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SCTY dropped this morning and I decided to take profits. It then proceeded  to recover and I was forced to buy back some of the shares. But I could not buy everything I sold since some of the shares purchased had cleared purchasing. So, now I got funds in suspense. no



-- Edited by longprime on Wednesday 11th of September 2013 06:01:59 PM

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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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so why are you into cash ?



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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LOL - just because I had a good day doesn't mean I'm not a novice!



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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So, You're not a novice.evileye



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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My gain for the day was $5667 but I'm mainly in cash at the moment.



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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Don't believe everything you read from me. 

Cramer has been known to be very wrong. 

Cramer has a lot more money to lose than you or I. 

Cramer is diversified. 

Cramer is in business to make money for himself (CNBC, books, appearances, sponsers)

Be aware of the  Cramer Bounce.  

 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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I have no idea-opinion about AAPL. 

So AAPL is down today on announcement of 5S. It is now back to where it was on Thur/Fri.  A swing of up +2% and down 2%. On a 100 shares, ~$50,000 you' could have experienced  +/-$1000. If this is your only stock and your most of your wad, you will be violating Cramer's diversification tenant. 

I added C to my portfolio yesterday, near closing. 

If I have 200 shares each of BGS (food), C(bank), HOT(real estate), MSFT (software), NWN (gas utility/producer), PRI (Insur), SCTY(solar). What is my approximate gain for today? (~$1825, ~+ 3.6%) on a diversified portfolio less than $50,000



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Guru

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Date: Sep 11, 2013
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After listening to Jim Cramer, I think I'll buy epi also.



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Guru

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Date: Sep 10, 2013
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I'm thinking about buying apple tomorrow.  What do you think?



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Guru

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Date: Sep 10, 2013
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I watch Cramer on more than occasional basis but not strictly. I look for his interviews and commentary about companies. I look for "conviction" of the CEO. I look for something the company has that is better than their competitors and perhaps disruptive in their industry. I try to be diversified which gives the appearance of weird companies. I use or I am familiar with their products. I read Yahoo message boards. I look at the charts for +/- momentum and direction. 

ie NWN, as I mention before, I am a user of NWN. Their ace in the pocket is that they are also a "NG producer-marketer" and control pipelines in Ore. NWN is near its cyclical low. Small volumes. No gas competitors. Clean and environmental forces in OR want to move towards gas and away from hydroelectric dependency which although,  Green, kills fish. Calfornia is paying more for our electricity, and cooking water by electricity is inefficient. NWN is a recent purchase but I purchase/sell it  cyclically. 

 



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Date: Sep 9, 2013
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looks like an interesting group of stocks some of which I've never heard of before.  Are these recent purchases and are you looking at buying anything else?  What methods do you use to pick stocks?



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Guru

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Date: Sep 9, 2013
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Normal disclosures.

I currently hold NWN, SCTY,  HOT, PRI, BGS, MSFT, SUNE, RSOL.  Currently none are hedged. Cash ~20%. I am unbalanced into energy and not as diversified as I would like but can change very quickly. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 9, 2013
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So let's make this simple.  Are you now long on any stocks including tsla?  Are you planning on going long on any stocks?



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Guru

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Date: Sep 8, 2013
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Getting back to TSLA. I see Teslas are very popular in CA,WA, and OR. Maybe because we are already trying to be greener and of newer wealth in technology.  CNBC  talking head said that Europe ought to be big for TSLA because their gas prices are 3x our cost and rising. Plus their travel distances are much smaller than ours, so the issue of running out of battery juice before getting to your destination is much less. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 8, 2013
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I have life, disability insurance where I work but at this stage its irrelevant.



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Guru

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Date: Sep 8, 2013
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Good Morning

re: insurance. The knowledgeable sources say that Investing is the top of the pyramid of taking care of one's responsibilities. ie Life Insurance, if you have family responsibilities.  Adequate financial reserves outside of insurances for unexpected job loss or similar. 



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Guru

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Date: Sep 8, 2013
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" Do YOU think I should risk choosing a loser, a winner, or go neutral? "

None of the above.

Depends on what you are buying. In 2008, I should have been buying short indexes, just as GoldmanSachs was doing in against their CDO's. I don't care what the Market is doing-I only care what My Portfolio is doing."

 

I don't consider shorting  - buying.

 

"I assume you have read some basic investment guide books. I assume you  have manageable debt and certain insurances where needed? "

Like what type of insurance?

 




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