You can sit there and analyze polling statistics to make them say anything you want, but the bottom line is MR is going to lose the election (and he already knows it). He was such a great governor in Massachusetts, that he's going to be crushed in his home state.
I heard about that after the last debate because it was starting to appear men were supporting MR at a higher rate than female, but more importantly at a much higher rate than they did in 08, while the women vote has remained close to unchanged. That changes the picture.
It also made me re-think about polling. We receive almost daily 2 or 3 polling calls, but the majority occur during the day, so if that is typical, the chances are the polls would be skewed also since there are more stay at home moms than stay at home dads. That is on top of the fact that younger voters, even my generation have given up landlines for cell phones only.
Add that up and I think this is why people are starting to look at other things, such as smaller internal groups.
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Raising a teenager is like nailing Jello to a tree
